DETERMINATION OF RELIABILITY FEATURES USING BAYES’ THEOREM
Abstract
Bayes' theorem is one of the fundamental theorems of probability, which determines the probability of events and objects belonging to a certain group. Reliability is considered in some sense a probability. To determine some characteristics of reliability, it is possible to use Bayes formula. Bayes' theorem can be used to review the likelihood of a specific event that already happened, it can be repeated again. Some examples of application of Bayes' theorem in the technical field are presented in this paper, attempting to explain why this theorem is called the inverse probability law: we can use condiţional probability to make a prediction in reverse and to improve our prediction of events. Keywords
Bayes’ theorem; characteristics of reability; conditional probabilities
